Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 8.294917 9.640889 11.088888 12.756967 14.619846 16.630551 18.959086
2025-05-18 6.447854 8.161176 10.126503 12.528952 15.366785 18.592136 22.513969
2025-05-25 5.154042 7.029446 9.302924 12.223672 15.835249 20.112193 25.513901
2025-06-01 4.265366 6.223591 8.717173 12.062067 16.362076 21.631568 28.496782
2025-06-08 3.522136 5.481905 8.095984 11.745087 16.604125 22.742671 30.960646
2025-06-15 3.069235 5.061226 7.829468 11.829501 17.317707 24.430246 34.168929
2025-06-22 2.648424 4.623676 7.480564 11.747393 17.769182 25.760544 36.931341
2025-06-29 2.360066 4.342019 7.314522 11.886981 18.502350 27.464366 40.217140
2025-07-06 2.117230 4.097258 7.171418 12.033099 19.230632 29.167389 43.537856
2025-07-13 1.959254 3.968695 7.186487 12.401059 20.277246 31.329610 47.536218
2025-07-20 1.793834 3.805205 7.127241 12.642017 21.136138 33.245075 51.238632
2025-07-27 1.598350 3.562742 6.915534 12.623678 21.595661 34.594693 54.174621
2025-08-03 1.329917 3.151704 6.388376 12.068715 21.214568 34.720403 55.388190
2025-08-10 1.156390 2.896325 6.100065 11.874345 21.367334 35.616685 57.717803
2025-08-17 0.993038 2.636201 5.776161 11.591764 21.356351 36.255192 59.675125
2025-08-24 0.868199 2.437021 5.542085 11.441004 21.539804 37.180697 62.067577
2025-08-31 0.741527 2.212524 5.236533 11.138879 21.452262 37.676569 63.818753
2025-09-07 0.671743 2.107336 5.150686 11.220520 21.999465 39.164967 67.096593
2025-09-14 0.593855 1.969384 4.985173 11.142116 22.266634 40.214358 69.723406
2025-09-21 0.543658 1.892426 4.936535 11.276061 22.898942 41.856138 73.295654
2025-09-28 0.498772 1.821738 4.893809 11.416207 23.543634 43.531059 76.953329
2025-10-05 0.474275 1.802623 4.959950 11.769078 24.573726 45.854220 81.673260
2025-10-12 0.442548 1.757829 4.965012 12.000197 25.392413 47.849724 85.916015